Tesco forecasts profit at upper end of guidance after Christmas sales rise – business live | Business


Introduction: Was it a good Christmas for UK retailers?

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

The Christmas leftovers are over, and any ill-fitting clothes or inappropriate gifts could have been returned, but we’re still learning which retailers won, or lost, over the festive season.

This morning, retail heavyweights Tesco and Marks & Spencer are about to release trading results covering the Christmas period, along with baking chain Greggs.

These results may show whether cautious consumers cut back over Christmas, or pushed the boat out, and whether the budget in late November had any impact on spending.

Data earlier this week showed that spending on promotions and deals reached its highest level since before the pandemic in December, which will have squeezed profit margins….

There could also be details on the impact of avian flu on the UK turkey flock, which forced some supermarkets to import birds from elsewhere in Europe. Last month, Marks & Spencer said all its turkey was sourced from Britain or Ireland, while the Co-op, Sainsbury’s and Tesco said their turkey was entirely British-sourced.

City analysts will also be scrutining Greggs’ results, due to concerns that the chain may be over-expanding as its sales growth slows….

The agenda

  • 7am GMT: Tesco, Greggs, and M&S release financial results

  • 7am GMT: Halifax house price index for December

  • 10am GMT: Eurozone unemployment data for November

  • 12.30pm GMT: Challenger US jobs cut report

  • 1.30pm GMT: US weekly jobless claims

  • 1.30pm GMT: US trade data for October

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Key events

Interestingly, M&S blames ‘reduced’ shopper numbers on the high street for the drop in sales at its fashion, home and beauty division, as well as the knock-on impact of last year’s cyber attack.

It tells shareholders:

Fashion, Home & Beauty sales decreased 2.5%, with like-for-like sales down 2.9% as online sales growth was offset by store sales decline.

Performance reflected reduced high street footfall, and the long tail impact on stock data and management following the incident earlier in the year. Stock into Sale during December was higher than last year but sell-through rates have been strong.

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